I’ve uploaded the draft pre-publication versions of my territorial taboo paper, and my response to the critical commentaries on it on Research Gate and Academia.
Also, here’s a link to an interview I did with Virginia Tech news on our latest Ukraine survey findings.
It was interesting to listen Monday on Zoom to a discussion of the topic of ‘land for peace?’ at the Robert Schuman Centre of the European University Institute in Florence Italy, and to participate a little. The two points I made were:
- The territorial taboo is weak and perhaps more so that ever before in the case of Ukraine. A series of factors are conspiring to force Ukraine into negotiations where it will have to reluctantly concede to a ‘frozen conflict’ scenario.
- That may be an optimistic scenario, however, because there is little indication that Russia is willing to settle right now, especially when it is gaining ground daily on the battlefield.
- And the one I didn’t have time for: the US election will be decisive in shaping the fate of Ukraine in the immediate term but no matter who wins there are a series of factors that are undermining Ukraine’s ability to sustain its warfighting capacity.
Coming soon: the long delayed Donbas survey data paper & an article on the English language genealogy of the meanings of geopolitics in the English language, both, by coincidence, in the journal Geopolitics.