Author Archives: Dr Gerard Toal
Short Public Affairs Articles in 2023.
G. Toal, The reality of the Ukraine war will eventually undermine its seductive storylines. Irish Times, 25 February 2023. K. Rickard, G. Toal, K. Bakke, J. O’Loughlin, “How reliable are polls in wartime Ukraine.” PONARS Memo, 15 February 2023. G. Toal, … Continue reading
Public Opinion in Frontline Ukrainian Cities in 2022
As 2022 comes to a close I am gathering together all the short public interest pieces that Karina Korostelina and I published this year, in multiple languages, based on our survey research, conducted by KIIS, in Poltava, Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. … Continue reading
Six months of bloody war in Ukraine
Ukrainian flags are still waiving in the breeze in my neighborhood, and in nearly all the places our family visited in Europe this summer. The flags are a remarkable display of solidarity and index of how much the Ukrainian war … Continue reading
New Research: Ukrainian attitudes toward territorial compromises.
The war in Ukraine is incredibly ugly, with thousands loosing their lives as Russian forces grab more and more Ukrainian territory. In wartime, rally-around-the-flag affective waves are to be expected. People feel patriotic because their country has been attacked or … Continue reading
Articles in The Irish Times on the Ukraine Crisis and War
I love The Irish Times. It is a paper I grew up with, a paper my father sold in our village shop in rural Ireland (after having read it himself!). What I also really like is that the paper is … Continue reading
Research on public opinion in the Donbas on the eve of the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The decision by Russian President Vladimir Putin to invade Ukraine on 24 February 2022 has brought death and destruction to thousands of people and places, while displacing millions of innocent civilians within Ukraine and across Europe. My colleagues and I … Continue reading
New Research on Public Attitudes in the Contested Donbas/s Region
In September-October 2021 our research project on geopolitical orientations in Russia’s neighboring states and breakaway regions organized, in collaboration with ZOIS in Berlin, a computer aided telephone survey (CATI) in the contested Donbas/s region of Ukraine. Conducting research in contested … Continue reading
Public Outreach Articles on New Research Findings 2020
2020 G. Toal, “Five ways the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will change the map.” Washington Post. 16 November. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/11/16/five-ways-2020-nagorno-karabakh-conflict-will-change-map/ K. Bakke, G. Toal, J. O’Loughlin, “Nagorno-Karabakh: what do residents of the contested territory want for their future?” The Conversation. 12 October. … Continue reading
Re-visiting Blame Attribution around the MH17 Tragedy
On the 6th anniversary of the horrific tragedy of the destruction of the civilian passenger aircraft Malaysian Airways Flight 17 over eastern Ukraine, my colleagues and I published the results of our latest survey on blame attribution over the event … Continue reading
First Look at Geopolitical Orientations
The COVID crisis has upended the planned roll-out of the research results of the Geopolitical Orientations Project (see previous post from February). Fortunately we were finished the survey research process just before the crisis really hit (though we were unable … Continue reading
Critical Geopolitics 