Author Archives: Dr Gerard Toal

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About Dr Gerard Toal

Irish born academic living in Washington DC researching geopolitical competition and territorial conflicts in post-Communist Europe. Author of CRITICAL GEOPOLITICS (1996), BOSNIA REMADE (w C Dahlman) and NEAR ABROAD: PUTIN, THE WEST AND THE CONTEST OVER UKRAINE AND THE CAUCASUS (Oxford University Press, 2017).

Which leaders do Ukrainians trust most?

The French geopolitical magazine Le Grand Continent today exclusively published more new findings from our June 2026 survey in wartime Ukraine. In the article we write about the context of the survey and how it was conducted. The finding that … Continue reading

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Trump as an enemy

We had no idea what ordinary Ukrainians thought of Donald Trump and his negotiating team when we sat down to come up with questions for a survey of the views of ordinary Ukrainians. But we knew, given how much the … Continue reading

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Book Forum on my book: Oceans Rise Empires Fall

Lucian Ashworth kindly organized an ‘author meets critics’ panel at the International Studies Association meeting in 2025 in Chicago. The contributions of those who participated were finally published today. Thanks to Caroline Nagel at Political Geography for her interest in … Continue reading

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New Publication: What Did the Donbas Want? The attitudes of ordinary people on the eve of the invasion.

The journal Geopolitics has just published an article that should be of widespread interest. It presents unique survey data from January 2022, just a few weeks before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine (Russia’s invasion began, as is widely known, in … Continue reading

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Will Ukraine Be Forced to Give Up Territory?

I’ve uploaded the draft pre-publication versions of my territorial taboo paper, and my response to the critical commentaries on it on Research Gate and Academia. Also, here’s a link to an interview I did with Virginia Tech news on our … Continue reading

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Territorial Taboo or Territorial Trading in the Russian War against Ukraine?

The good folks at KIIS did an excellent job in very difficult circumstances — missile attacks, power failures, fear and stress — in completing the latest round of survey research in government controlled Ukraine for the joint NSF-ESRC project on … Continue reading

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Oceans Rise Empires Fall is published in the USA

The US National Mall, the state’s most famous landscaped park, seems like an appropriate place to present Oceans Rise Empires Fall Resting on what once was swamp & forest is an argument about how Great Powers rivalries hasten climatic change, … Continue reading

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Text of remarks for Kennan Institute’s “Why Ukraine Matters” series.

Below is a transcript of my comments for this series. Click here for a video of the remarks used. For the whole series (which I recommend) click here. What makes the Russian war against Ukraine different from other conflicts in Europe … Continue reading

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On my new book: Oceans Rise Empires Fall

Oceans Rise Empires Fall is scheduled for publication by Oxford University Press on 6 June 2024. It evolved considerably in the process of writing. Here’s the final table of contents: Introduction: Rising Threats 1. Geopolitics All Around 2. Grounding Geopolitics … Continue reading

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Short Public Affairs Articles in 2023.

K. Korostelina, G. Toal, “How Ukrainians Living at the Front View the War, Victory, and Peace.” Kennan Institute Blog, 11 July 2023. K. Korostelina, G. Toal, “The Dynamics of Identity in Ukrainians Living at the Front.” Kennan Institute Blog, 21 … Continue reading

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