Category Archives: Current affairs

New Publication: What Did the Donbas Want? The attitudes of ordinary people on the eve of the invasion.

The journal Geopolitics has just published an article that should be of widespread interest. It presents unique survey data from January 2022, just a few weeks before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine (Russia’s invasion began, as is widely known, in … Continue reading

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Will Ukraine Be Forced to Give Up Territory?

I’ve uploaded the draft pre-publication versions of my territorial taboo paper, and my response to the critical commentaries on it on Research Gate and Academia. Also, here’s a link to an interview I did with Virginia Tech news on our … Continue reading

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Territorial Taboo or Territorial Trading in the Russian War against Ukraine?

The good folks at KIIS did an excellent job in very difficult circumstances — missile attacks, power failures, fear and stress — in completing the latest round of survey research in government controlled Ukraine for the joint NSF-ESRC project on … Continue reading

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Oceans Rise Empires Fall is published in the USA

The US National Mall, the state’s most famous landscaped park, seems like an appropriate place to present Oceans Rise Empires Fall Resting on what once was swamp & forest is an argument about how Great Powers rivalries hasten climatic change, … Continue reading

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Text of remarks for Kennan Institute’s “Why Ukraine Matters” series.

Below is a transcript of my comments for this series. Click here for a video of the remarks used. For the whole series (which I recommend) click here. What makes the Russian war against Ukraine different from other conflicts in Europe … Continue reading

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On my new book: Oceans Rise Empires Fall

Oceans Rise Empires Fall is scheduled for publication by Oxford University Press on 6 June 2024. It evolved considerably in the process of writing. Here’s the final table of contents: Introduction: Rising Threats 1. Geopolitics All Around 2. Grounding Geopolitics … Continue reading

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Short Public Affairs Articles in 2023.

K. Korostelina, G. Toal, “How Ukrainians Living at the Front View the War, Victory, and Peace.” Kennan Institute Blog, 11 July 2023. K. Korostelina, G. Toal, “The Dynamics of Identity in Ukrainians Living at the Front.” Kennan Institute Blog, 21 … Continue reading

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Public Opinion in Frontline Ukrainian Cities in 2022

As 2022 comes to a close I am gathering together all the short public interest pieces that Karina Korostelina and I published this year, in multiple languages, based on our survey research, conducted by KIIS, in Poltava, Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. … Continue reading

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Six months of bloody war in Ukraine

Ukrainian flags are still waiving in the breeze in my neighborhood, and in nearly all the places our family visited in Europe this summer. The flags are a remarkable display of solidarity and index of how much the Ukrainian war … Continue reading

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New Research: Ukrainian attitudes toward territorial compromises.

The war in Ukraine is incredibly ugly, with thousands loosing their lives as Russian forces grab more and more Ukrainian territory. In wartime, rally-around-the-flag affective waves are to be expected. People feel patriotic because their country has been attacked or … Continue reading

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